Víkingur Reykjavík vs KR Reykjavík - AI Prediction & Analysis
Risk Level
medium riskVíkingur home matches average 10.42 corners; KR away matches average 12.33 corners. Both teams are corner-heavy, making Over 10.5 corners a strong play with high data support.
First half goals are a recurring theme: Víkingur home 1H goals total avg 2.01, KR away 1H goals total avg 3.13. Back 1H Over 1.5 with confidence.
KR have scored in 18 of their last 20 matches and Víkingur have scored in 19 of 20. BTTS Yes has a strong historical hit rate – expect both to find the net here.
KR's away matches average 5.30 yellow cards total, while Víkingur home matches average 3.23. With the league average at 4.7, this match could see over 4.5 cards.
Marker Matches
Head-to-Head
Odds
Winner
Pressure Index
AI Analysis
How we predictThis is a genuine top-of-table clash with just 3 points separating these two giants. Víkingur sit 1st on 28 points, KR 2nd on 25 – a win for either would be a huge statement. Víkingur have been perfect at home (5 wins, 1 draw) and haven't lost a league match all season. KR have been nearly as impressive on the road, winning 4 of their last 4 away. Both know the title race is tight, and dropping points here could be costly later. Full focus, no distractions – both teams will go all out. The atmosphere will be electric, and the intensity will be high from the start.
Víkingur are on a ridiculous run: 9 straight league wins, 7 of their last 7 matches overall. They've scored 5+ in their last two home games (5-0 vs FH, 6-0 vs Þór). The xG data is unavailable, but the sheer volume of chances (8 big chances vs Þór, 5 vs ÍA) shows they're creating and finishing. KR have been in a goal-fest mode: their last 5 matches averaged 6.2 total goals. They beat Valur 4-1 away, beat Stjarnan 3-2 away, and even in their 6-3 loss at Breidablik they created 7 big chances. Their away xG overperformance (1.78 avg xG vs 2.5 goals scored) suggests some regression risk, but with Víkingur's leaky away form? Actually Víkingur are solid at home, but KR's attack is potent. Both sides come in flying.
Both teams have full squads available. No injuries, no suspensions. Víkingur's coach Solvi Geir and KR's coach Óskar Hrafn Thorvaldsson have been consistent with their lineups. Rotation risk is minimal given this is a top-of-table clash. Both sides can field their strongest XI. This removes any squad depth concerns and makes the match a pure tactical battle.
On paper, both teams are described as 'defensive, corner-heavy'. But the recent form tells a different story – both are scoring and conceding plenty. Víkingur at home average 56% possession and create 5.13 big chances per game. KR away average 60% possession and allow 4.83 big chances to opponents. This suggests a clash where both sides will have spells of control, but will also leave gaps. The 'corner-heavy' tag is accurate: Víkingur home corners avg 10.42 total, KR away corners avg 12.33 total. So expect set-pieces to be a factor. The match likely won't be a cagey affair; the quality on the pitch and the stakes should produce an open game.
Víkingur's home markers are dominant: 5-0 vs FH (3 big chances, but FH had a red card), 6-0 vs Þór (8 big chances, total control), 4-0 vs ÍA (5 big chances), 3-2 vs Stjarnan (4 big chances, conceded 2), 1-1 vs Breidablik (3 big chances, opponent had 1). Even in the draws they create plenty. The common thread: Víkingur always create multiple big chances, average 5.13 per match at home. Their corners are consistent (10.42 total avg). The only match where they didn't score 3+ was the 1-1 vs Breidablik, but even then they had 7 shots on target and 3 big chances. KR's away markers: 3-6 loss at Breidablik (4 big chances for, 7 against – open game), 3-2 win at Stjarnan (3 big chances for, 4 against – another open match), 4-1 win at Valur (5 big chances for, 4 against), 6-2 win at ÍBV (1 big chance for, 3 against – but they scored 6!). The pattern is clear: KR away matches are high-event. Their corners are high (11.8 total avg), yellow cards high (5.3 total avg). Both teams' marker data converge on a match with many corners, many chances, and likely goals. The H2H marker match (1-0 in February) is an outlier – both teams have evolved since then.
Three meetings in the last 12 months. The most recent was a 1-0 Víkingur home win in February 2026 – a tight affair with few chances (corners 5-5, cards 1-1 each). That match was a pre-season friendly? Actually it was a league match? The data shows it as a competitive match. Earlier in September 2025, Víkingur smashed KR 7-0 away, with an xG of 2.60 to 0.47 – complete domination despite KR having 72% possession. That was an anomaly. In June 2025, Víkingur won 3-2 at home with both teams scoring and xG close (1.84 vs 1.70). So the H2H is mixed but recently has been low-scoring only in February. With both teams in much better attacking form now, expect more goals.
First half numbers are explosive. Víkingur home 1H goals total avg 2.01, KR away 1H goals total avg 3.13. That's huge. 1H corners also high: Víkingur home 3.96 total, KR away 5.83 total. Expect early activity. Yellow cards: Víkingur home avg 3.23 total, KR away avg 5.30 total. League average is 4.7, so this could be a card-heavy match. However, referee not assigned yet. Fouls are moderate: Víkingur home fouls avg 23.63 total, KR away fouls avg 26.36 total. So plenty of stoppages. Saves: both keepers will be busy (Víkingur home avg 8.09 saves total, KR away avg 8.34). All signs point to an action-packed game.
No odds data available. Without bookmaker odds, we cannot calculate value or EV. Recommendations are based purely on qualitative and quantitative analysis of the data. Confidence in specific bets is therefore low due to missing odds. However, the underlying patterns are strong enough to suggest likely outcomes.
BTTS Yes
Why this bet
KR have scored in 18 of last 20 matches overall, and 13 of last 15 away. Víkingur have scored in 19 of last 20 overall, and 15 of last 15 at home. Both teams have strong scoring streaks. BTTS Yes has hit in 17/20 for KR overall, and in 10/15 for Víkingur home matches. This pattern is robust.
Víkingur home matches average 10.42 total corners, KR away matches average 12.33. H2H corners average 10.11. Both teams are corner-heavy. Expect over 10.5 with high probability.
Víkingur are strong at home and should win, but KR always score. This combo covers the most likely scenario: a high-scoring home win. Score geometry: covers 2-1, 3-1, 3-2, etc. Broad and realistic.
If 0-0 at HT
Over 0.5 2H Goals